brad's blog

Debate on whether self-driving will go mainstream by 10 years, Brad Templeton and Raj Rajkumar

I love a good debate, and here I debate one of the core questions -- will self-driving be mainstream within 10 years. On the negative side is Raj Rajkumar, a professor from CMU and one of the leaders of the CMU team that won the DARPA Urban challenge.

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Elon Musk Outlines How Teslas Will Be Worth Five Times What You Paid. Here s How His Math Is Wrong

Elon repeated the claim of huge value in hiring out your car. But a taxi is more a consumable than an asset and the math doesn't work.

Read more at Forbes.com in Elon Musk Outlines How Teslas Will Be Worth Five Times What You Paid. Here s How His Math Is Wrong

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California PUC To Quiz Waymo & Cruise About Their Problems With The City Of San Francisco

The CPUC will ask Waymo and Cruise for the data San Francisco has been keen to get but also give them the ability to promise to fix it

Read more at Forbes.com in California PUC To Quiz Waymo & Cruise About Their Problems With The City Of San Francisco

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Debate: Will self-driving cars rule in 10 years or fizzle - With Raj Rajkumar of CMU vs. myself

Coming up July 27 at 10am EDT join me and CMU professor and Darpa Grand Challenge winner Raj Rajkumar in a debate about the prospects for self-driving cars on the current technological roadmap in the next 10 years. I will argue for success and significant growth to many cities, Raj will argue that this won't happen without new approaches, if at all. Dan Levy from Barclays will moderate.

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GM switches to Tesla NACS, killing CCS. Now can we put Tesla in charge of all charging, please?

Right after Ford switched to NACS, GM has joined the party. With the top 3 US EV makers on NACS and CCS left with the foreign makers (and Stellantis which just started doing EVs) CCS is dead. Except for $7B in government subsidies. They ruined the CCS charging network, but maybe if they think about it, we can find a way to get this money to doing things the superior way Tesla did it without subsidies.

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California Bill Bans Self-Driving Trucks. San Francisco Supervisors Block Waymo. Does Luddism Reign?

Votes were nearly unanimous to reign in autonomous vehicle companies in their birthplace.

Read more at Forbes.com in California Bill Bans Self-Driving Trucks. San Francisco Supervisors Block Waymo. Does Luddism Reign?

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Video: "Tesla Stanley" explains (badly) why Tesla FSD rules self-driving

It's surprisingly common to see articles and videos from Tesla fans who believe that Tesla FSD is a contender -- even the leader -- in self-driving development. The reality is it's still not even in the race compared to other players. In this video, I pretend to be a super Tesla FSD fan and I give the reasons they commonly give for feeling that Tesla rules the roost, but in a way that makes the flaws in those arguments more apparent.

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Waymo Hits 2 Million No-Driver Miles And Expands Phoenix Robotaxi Zone. Can It Replace Your Car?

Waymo now serves a large contiguous area in Phoenix, and is doing 10,000 rides/week. But it's not a car replacement yet, which it needs to be.

Read more at Forbes.com in Waymo Hits 2 Million No-Driver Miles And Expands Phoenix Robotaxi Zone. Can It Replace Your Car?

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What Should Happen When A Robocar Meets An Emergency Vehicle, To Avoid A Paradox Of Safety?

Robotaxis are sometimes not acting well when meeting fire trucks and other emergency vehicles. Here's a look at some incidents, what could be done better, and how to manage it. Includes exclusive Waymo's-eye view of police interaction

Read more at Forbes.com in What Should Happen When A Robocar Meets An Emergency Vehicle, To Avoid A Paradox Of Safety?

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Tesla Again Paints A Very Misleading Story With Their Crash Data

Tesla's crash data seem amazing, but the reality is very different and many have been misled by the numbers. In actuality, there's no strong case that Teslas are much safer with Autopilot on

Read more at Forbes.com in Tesla Again Paints A Very Misleading Story With Their Crash Data

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Einride s Self-Driving Goal Is Medium-Haul Electric Trucks, Not Long Haul. Here s Why. Plus Podcast interview

Many companies are looking to make self-driving trucks. Einride feels they are the best path to electric trucks, and that's the best way to reduce emissions.

Read more at Forbes.com in Einride s Self-Driving Goal Is Medium-Haul Electric Trucks, Not Long Haul. Here s Why.

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Baidu, AutoX Expand Uncrewed Robotaxi Operations In China - Will The World Catch Up?

Chinese companies have been expanding their operation of robotaxis with no employee aboard Baidu Apollo (sometimes called the Google of China) has expanded in Whuhan, Chongqing and Beijing and AutoX has expanded to Shanghai.

Read more at Forbes.com in Baidu, AutoX Expand Uncrewed Robotaxi Operations In China - Will The World Catch Up?

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